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Enrique Miranda El Diario de Hoy

the ARENA candidate for president, Rodrigo Avila, has cut in a month by seven percentage points ahead of his opponent's FMLN, Mauricio Funes, who started seven months before his political career, reveals the most recent survey by Borge y Asociados for El Diario de Hoy.

As a logical consequence, the group of undecided has dropped just seven points, indicating that Avila has managed, with the start of his fundraising and the announcements made to date, to convince those eight weeks ago still did not know whom to vote in the upcoming elections in March 2009 . Halved the gap separating it from the FMLN.

study numbers also reveal that Funes has not grown since the previous survey in June, while Avila is rising as from which he was nominated in March.

Double

survey should be noted that in this third study carried out by Borge y Asociados for El Diario de Hoy, first After two surveys are conducted simultaneously to validate the results. The procedure is simple: the house polling took two different samples of respondents who share the same socio-economic criteria.

with the same questionnaire, a group of Salvadorans interviewers asked the first sample and a group of professional surveyors from other countries (Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua) asked the second sample, also in the field and deployed throughout the country .

The results are similar, although in general the respondents who answered responded to aliens unless the intention to vote for president. This, says Borge, can be caused "by distrust of a Salvadoran accent."

However, when comparing the two surveys, Avila also cuts Funes seven points in both, although both lower their intention to vote in absolute terms in the survey conducted by foreign experts.

In numbers, Avila gets 30.5% of the vote against 37.6% of Funes in the questionnaire made by national pollsters. In the survey conducted by American interviewers Avila gets 24.1% of the vote against 31.4 of Funes. In this second study, the proportion of the gap between them is still seven points, a fact that validates the results of the survey by Salvadorans, although in absolute terms the two candidates down.

The growth trend that keeps Ávila corresponds to the growth that has taken his party ARENA, while the FMLN as a party, like Mauricio Funes, has remained stable.

The survey reveals that among those who answered the questionnaire to the interviewers Salvadoran official party has risen by about ten percentage points from the study in June, while the FMLN barely rose one point in the same period of time.

The difference between the preferences for both parties is four points above the institute left.

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